Recession and Government Finances

Readers Question: Indicate the problems which are created for the government’s finances as a result of having to help avoid an even deeper recession. In a recession, automatic fiscal stabilisers automatically cause a rise in borrowing. The UK recession hit tax revenues hard. Income tax receipts fell as top earners were made unemployed. Corporation tax …

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Difficulty of reducing government debt

Most western economies are facing the prospect of record peace time government debt levels. The EU Maastrict Criteria stated that the maximum budget deficit member countries could run is a budget deficit of 3% of GDP. (By the way, I am glad this target for government borrowing has not been enforced. That would have been …

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Prospects for US Economy in 2010

This graph illustrates the difference between actual GDP and potential GDP. It also indicates how much Real GDP growth has lagged behind potential growth. This means the US economy currently has substantial spare capacity. This is reflected by a rise in unemployment and factories operating below full capacity. The Real potential GDP illustrates the long …

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Fixing a Broke Economy (Iceland)

Readers Question: I trying to find appropriate policies that the Icelandic government could adopt to deal with the country`s substantial current account deficit. Do you know what policies they are using for the moment, and more importantly which policies they should adopt? Related Problems with Iceland Economy Solving UK Current account deficit At the height …

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Wrong Statistics Cause Policy Problems

One of the great challenges of Monetary and Fiscal Policy is knowing exactly where the economy is. If output is falling, then this justifies an easing of monetary policy (lower interest rates, or in the UK’s current situation more quantitative easing). Recently GDP statistics showed an unexpected 0.4% fall in GDP. This was a key …

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Question: Can higher GDP lead to lower house prices?

Readers Question: Is it possible the phenomenon to have a relationship between GDP and house prices where an increase of the mean GDP to lead to decreased house prices? Yes, An interesting phenomena is that UK house prices have shown an increase during 2009 – despite a prolonged recession. Typically, in a recession, you would …

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Economic Fears

Fear is a powerful emotion which can have significant economic implications. Often real fears are ignored in a wave of over-exuberance. Sometimes, if people had greater fear of getting into debt and falling asset prices e.t.c, the economy would be less prone to bubbles and the consequent mess. Perhaps fear isn’t the right word. – …

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Question: Difference between an Underdeveloped Economy and Depression

Readers Question: What is the difference between depression economy and underdeveloped economy? A depression economy suggests the economy is experiencing a deep recession, characterised by falling output and rising unemployment. An economy experiencing a recession could have a high GDP per Capita or a low GDP per capita. E.g. UK and the US have both …

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