Readers Question: Does money printing/QE always lead to inflation and price increases? No. Increasing the money supply does not necessarily cause inflation. In particular, we have seen a large increase in the monetary base (narrow money) that hasn’t led to an increase in the general price level. If you look at link between money supply …
It is difficult to predict the dollar because there are few different factors pulling the dollar in different directions. Firstly, the dollar has been surprisingly resilient since the US slipped into its worst recession and US interest rates tumbled to near 0%. The resilience of the dollar is not based on economic fundamentals but, a …
Will The Stock Market Crash Continue?Watch this video on YouTube Since the start of the year, the Dow Jones has fallen 10%, but this is more than a stock market correction. Bond yields are rising, the dollar is falling and price of gold is soaring. It is an unusual combination to have falling stocks and …
This is a graph showing US inflation in the post-war period. In a nutshell, US inflation has been fairly low and stable in the post-war period. The exception being in the 1970s and early 1980s when inflation became embedded. After the Second World War there was lingering inflation for a few reasons. Firstly, the war …
The Eastern European Boom When Will Polish Economy Overtake UK and France?Watch this video on YouTube Whilst Western Europe struggles with low growth, Eastern Europe is booming. In the past two decades, Eastern Europe has quietly witnessed an economic transformation, with growth in living standards outperforming the West. Estonia, Poland and Romania have all seen …
Since 2000, there was only one major economy which has seen a fall in real GDP per capita – Italy. In this period, Italy has experienced a shocking fall in productivity, rising debt, and prolonged economic turmoil. We are told the Italian economy is riven by cronyism, falling birth rates, and a regional divide. Yet, …
New Labour – The Economic Impact of Blair and BrownWatch this video on YouTube By 2007, New Labour had presided over the longest period of economic growth in the post-war period. It was the goldilocks economy with low inflation, low unemployment and an impressive rise in spending on the NHS and education. But, the devastating …
Is Buy to Let Sector in Terminal Decline?Watch this video on YouTube From the mid 1990s, the buy-to-let sector saw impressive growth. By 2016, 2 million individuals owned a buy to let property. But, recent events have seen a sharp decline in buy-to-let mortgage lending. It is shrinking as a share of the market …