In 1980, Mrs Thatcher made a memorable speech. “To those waiting with bated breath for that favourite media catchphrase, the U-turn, I have only one thing to say: You turn if you want to. The lady’s not for turning!”(BBC Link) Background – The economy was struggling under the deflationary fiscal and monetary policy. Mrs Thatcher …
The UK economy faces a few paradoxes. Low Growth – High Inflation. Firstly, after a deep recession the economic recovery is weak. In theory, high unemployment and low growth should lead to low inflation. However, due to rising energy and food prices, we have inflation above target. This presents a conundrum for the Bank of …
For manufacturing investment, the real interest rate is important for determining the viability of investment. Lower interest rates make it cheaper to borrow. Therefore lower interest rates tend to encourage business investment. High real interest rates discourage investment. How interest rates affect the efficiency of investment At lower interest rates, the marginal efficiency of capital …
Readers Question: Does growth forecast always corresponds to the mesured growth? If a bias exist, is it always on the same side? Recently, growth statistics published on February 26th showed that the GDP figures for the fourth quarter of 2009 were a higher than first recorded. GDP grew by 0.3%, rather than the initial estimate …
2010 will be a difficult year for the UK economy. After the deepest recession since the 1930s, the outlook is for a sluggish recovery. Though recovery is welcome, it still leaves the problem of spare capacity, high unemployment and record levels of peacetime government borrowing. It will be a difficult tightrope between boosting economic growth …
One of the great challenges of Monetary and Fiscal Policy is knowing exactly where the economy is. If output is falling, then this justifies an easing of monetary policy (lower interest rates, or in the UK’s current situation more quantitative easing). Recently GDP statistics showed an unexpected 0.4% fall in GDP. This was a key …
Readers Question: Evaluate policies which a government could adopt in response to falling behind mortgage payments The problems of mortgage defaults are explained here What can the government / monetary authorities do? Cut interest rates. The MPC can cut interest rates as long as inflation is not a problem. However, the government do not set …
Readers Question: What is the relationship/theory between the OCR (Official Cash Rate) and Inflation? The Official Cash Rate is the interest rate the New Zealand Reserve Bank use to control inflation. It is very similar to the base rate used by the MPC, Bank of England. Graph Interest Rates New Zealand Because New Zealand commercial …