The Coronavirus has already led to disruption in manufacturing output, foreign travel and consumer demand. If the virus spreads and becomes a pandemic, what will be the likely economic effects? In short, a global pandemic will have a serious supply-side impact – especially on foreign travel, manufacturing and investment. The uncertainty and decline in travel …
The world economy is already entering a very deep recession, with GDP falling by an estimated 20-25%. Unemployment will rise very fast as large parts of the economy close down. An optimistic assessment is that the economic shock will be short-term, policymakers are responding with as much monetary and fiscal help as they can, and …
Since the credit crisis of 2008, the UK economy has experienced structural weakness of Low economic growth Very poor productivity growth Weak demand Unbalanced economy geared towards consumption and low levels of investment. In addition to these structural weaknesses, the UK economy in 2020 now faces real threats from A hard Brexit Risk of slowdown …
Geographical unemployment occurs when people are without work because of immobilities in firms and workers moving to/from depressed regions. For example, London may have a booming job market with vacancies, however, an unemployed man in south Wales may be unable to take the job because of difficulties in moving to London. Alternatively, a firm may …
The difference between CPI and PCE seemed relatively insignificant. However, a big issue is the difference between CPI and Core CPI. CPI is the consumer price index. A measure of the cost of living for the typical person. Core CPI is the CPI – energy and food prices. Energy and food prices are removed because …
The interest rate cycle is closely related to the economic or trade cycle. In theory, movements in interest rates should mirror the economic cycle. If the economy is growing strongly and inflationary pressures increasing – Central Banks will increase interest rates to slow down the economy and prevent inflation. If the economy enters into recession …
The great recession refers to the economic downturn between 2008 and 2013. The recession began after the 2007/08 global credit crunch and led to a prolonged period of low/negative growth, rising unemployment and a period of fiscal austerity. In particular, the great recession highlighted problems within the Eurozone which experienced a double-dip recession and high …
Moral Hazard is the concept that individuals have incentives to alter their behaviour when their risk or bad-decision making is borne by others. Examples of moral hazard include: Comprehensive insurance policies decrease the incentive to take care of your possessions Governments promising to bail out loss-making banks can encourage banks to take greater risks. Conditions …