Inflation set to fall in 2023

inflation-set-to-fall

After inflation has reached the highest levels for decades it is set to fall dramatically over the next few months. I’ll explain why this is, why we will not notice much difference and look at whether economists may be proved wrong yet again on inflation. Recently UK government has announced it plans to cut inflation …

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How Brexit contributed to Inflation and Lower Investment

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Nearly two years after leaving The Single Market, the UK economy is facing a host of problems including high inflation, low investment and falling growth. All problems exacerbated by Brexit. Last month, food inflation rose to 15%, the highest level for decades. This is primarily due to rising energy prices, But, experts at LSE state …

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Core inflation definition

Core Inflation. This is a measure of inflation which excludes certain volatile and seasonal prices. It will be based on the Consumer price index but exclude prices such as Petrol (subject to oil price variations) Food (subject to seasonal variations) Core inflation will also exclude the impact of government excise duties. Core inflation is seen …

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Forecasts for Pound Sterling in 2023 and PPP rates

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In September, the Pound plunged to its lowest level on record reaching a low of 1.03 during a day’s trading. The markets were spooked by the government’s unfunded tax cuts and likely £190 bn budget deficit. Investors viewed the Kwarteng/Truss budget as the shortest suicide note in history. Investors sold Sterling and UK bonds, creating …

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Increasing interest rates in the time of a recession

uk-inflation-interest-rates-2022

Central Banks around the world are increasing interest rates because of concerns about inflation. However, the curious feature of this economic cycle is that Central Banks are raising rates, just as economies go into recession. Higher interest rates will, therefore, exacerbate the economic downturn and cause a deeper recession and higher unemployment. So why are …

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Fall in historical interest rates – and what it means for future rates

historical-interest-rates

Research shows that historical interest rates have been consistently falling, ever since the first interest rates could be measured in the medieval ages. Although there are cyclical fluctuations, there is a consistent long-term trend for real interest rates to fall at a steady rate. The interesting thing is that this phenomenon has been noticed in …

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