Euro Forecast 2010

If you are studying for exams, you will hopefully, be learning that the value of a currency is generally influenced by factors such as: Interest rates – low interest rates lead to hot money flows out of economy and  a weaker exchange rate. Relative inflation rates – Higher inflation makes a countries exports uncompetitive and …

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Understanding Real World Economics

This e-book concentrates on macro economics, issues such as economic growth, recessions, the credit crunch, inflation and globalisation. It also takes a look at economic history and also in-depth look at recent economic events such as the European debt crisis, deflation, and levels of government debt.

Updated Sept 2015.

  • Single user license – Cost only £6.99
  • Network license (allows unlimited use within educational establishment) – £50

 

Why Not Just Default on government debt?

A few people have asked why don’t government’s just default and not pay their debt back? Firstly, a government could effectively default just by printing money, creating inflation and making it easier to pay debt back. But, if the government does create inflation (print money) to pay off its debt or simply refuses to pay, …

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Tax on Currency Trades

Question: Why do we have a VAT rate of 17.5% on many ordinary goods and a tax rate on petrol / tobacco of over 50% – yet when people propose a tax of 0.01% on currency transactions it is denounced as unfair and economically damaging? At the G20 summit, Gordon Brown, proposed a version of …

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Should the Baltic States join the Euro

Readers Question: Is it a good idea for the Baltic states to adopt the Euro before they have met the convergence criteria? Latvia and Lithuania have a target date of 2013 for joining the Euro. Estonia by Jan 1 2011. The four main convergence criteria for the joining the Euro are: Low inflation Low Government …

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Why is Chinese Currency Undervalued?

Many argue that on simple purchasing power parity, the Chinese currency the Renminbi is undervalued by approximately 30%. This is a source of friction in the US, with firms claiming they lose out to a cheap Chinese currency which can undercut US goods. The Chinese government wish to keep the currency undervalued because: A weaker …

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Question: Why do Government fail to meet macro objectives?

Readers Question: Why do the Government often fail to achieve its main objectives of high economic growth, price stability, and a surplus on the balance of payments. Other objectives worth adding are low unemployment,  low government borrowing and maybe stable exchange rate. Looking at the current climate of the UK economy, the government is only …

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Forecasts for Canadian and US Dollar

Readers Question What are your predictions for us/Canadian dollar currency. Do you think they will reach par in 2009 ? Recently the Canadian dollar has been weak against the US dollar. This is because of the plunge in commodity prices which depress Canadian export revenues and decrease value of Canadian Dollar. Despite many problems in …

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