When Do Recessions End?

A recession is a period of negative economic growth. Falling output leads to higher unemployment, and this rise in unemployment causes a negative multiplier effect. e.g. those made unemployed will spend less causing even less demand in the economy. Thus there are many factors which make it difficult to get out of a recession. What …

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Which Measure of Inflation to Use?

UK Inflation Since 2000 Readers Question: How can we have both inflation and deflation in the economy at the same time? (the RPI falling to 0% and CPI rising to 3.2%) Deflation requires a fall in prices. We would need a negative inflation rate (e.g -0.3%)  to have deflation Note if the inflation rate fell …

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Blame for 2009 Recession

Readers Question: Actually, I would like to know if the current UK’s recession is caused whether economic policies which have been practised or the UK has been affected from outside the country? The recession is caused by a mixture of domestic and international factors. For more detailed explanation see: Economic crisis explained Who is to …

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Why The Price of Oil is Volatile

A look at why oil prices are volatile. Readers Question: Dear Economics Help. Why is the petrol price so volatile and why when oil price falls don’t the prices of other commodities and services stay the same? The price of petrol is closely linked to the price of oil. In 2008,  the price of oil …

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Indian Economy 2009

After several years of rapid growth, 2009, will prove a testing year for India. Inflation Inflation continues to pose a threat.  Inflation peaked at 12% in early August ’08. Inflation, is being caused by rapid growth (demand pull factors) but, also the cost push inflation factors (rising oil prices). Hopefully, the fall in oil prices …

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Forecasts for Australian Dollar 2009

Readers Question: Do you have any predictions for the AUS$ against the GBP in 2009? Thanks Both, the Australian and UK economy faces a year of uncertainty and sluggish growth. It is really a question of which will be weakest. However, I think the Australian economy and currency will be hit harder than many in …

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The importance of productivity on the current account balance of payments

current-account-from-1955

Readers Question: Using the data and your own economic knowledge, evaluate the importance of rising productivity in bringing about an improvement in the UK balance of payment on the current account. Productivity is defined as output per worker or output per input. Rising productivity implies that the economy is becoming more competitive and will be …

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Question on Supply Side Reforms and Appreciation

Readers Question: Assess the view that supply-side reforms have enabled the UK economy to be ‘more successful in maintaining growth, despite an appreciation in the value of its currency’ (Extract 1, lines 5-6}. (From Edexcel unit 3) An appreciation in the exchange rate would tend to reduce aggregate demand and lead to lower economic growth. …

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