Fall in Euro

Recently, the Euro has fallen from 1.5 Dollars to 1 Euro in 2011 to near parity in March 2015. The fall in the value of the Euro has been very steep in the last six months. This is a very significant depreciation in the Euro, and primarily reflects the greater economic weakness in the Eurozone. …

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The need for a higher inflation target in the EU

The ECB inflation target is 2% – ‘it aims to maintain inflation rates below, but close to, 2% over the medium term. ‘ However, some economists argue that in the current situation, the ECB should have a higher inflation target of 3-4%. The main reason for having a higher inflation rate would be to prioritise …

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Inflation target during deflation

Readers Question: How does inflation targeting operate when there is a deflation? and what are the problems associated with this? It’s a good question to ask at the moment, especially with regard to the ECB and Eurozone. Firstly, the EU inflation target is – below but close to 2%. If inflation falls below 2%, the …

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Hopes for UK economy

Despite a shrinkage in manufacturing and widening trade deficit, the IMF have hinted that the UK economy is beginning to emerge from one of the longest periods of economic stagnation / recession on records. They marginally increased their forecast for UK growth to 0.9% for 2013. Does the recent good news give hope to the …

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Abenomics – a Japanese recovery?

Abenomics refers to the economic policy of the current Japanese prime minister Shinzō Abe. The aim of the policy is to stimulate strong economic recovery and help the Japanese economy to escape a cycle of deflation, and low growth. Can Japan break the cycle of low growth? The range of policies include: Expansionary monetary policy …

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Independent Currency and Economic Performance

Why have countries in the Eurozone faced greater difficulties in promoting economic recovery? How does a country with its own currency find greater flexibility in overcoming a recession? 1. Impact of Currency and Bond Yields A striking feature of recent years is that countries in the Eurozone have been significantly more susceptible to rising bond …

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Explaining Paradoxes of UK Economy

Readers Question: There just seems to be many paradoxical actions taking place in markets and economies at the moment. How do we explain? Paradoxes of UK economy Low interest rates have not increased spending / economic growth Despite recession, inflation has been above target. Despite recession and depreciation of Pound, current account deficit increased in …

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Sticky Inflation

Sticky inflation is an undesirable economic situation where there is a combination of stubbornly high inflation, (and often stagnant growth).   Sticky inflation is often associated with cost-push factors, i.e. factors which cause a rise in the inflation rate but also lead to lower spending and economic growth. Sticky inflation is also sometimes known as Stagflation …

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