Readers Question: Critically evaluate the argument for and against the likelihood of an imminent house price correction in UK ? House prices in the UK have risen much faster than inflation; in the past 6 years average house prices in the UK have more than doubled. This has caused many to speculate that house prices …
In the last quarter of 2024, the UK had the lowest rate of economic growth amongst advanced economies. Yet it also had the highest Central Bank interest rate. 4.75%. It is higher even than the Federal Reserve, despite US growth being almost double the UK in recent years. Is Bank of England Pushing Economy into …
When displaying time series data, it often makes sense to use index numbers. Index numbers are a simple way of making it easier to compare numbers over a period of time. Index numbers measure relative changes in the price of a sum of representative data. For example, the FTSE-100 is an index displaying the average …
It’s official the UK entered into recession last year with GDP falling over a period of six months. However, with only a 0.4% fall in GDP some argue the recession is relatively mild. This is Not a Mild RecessionWatch this video on YouTube But, if we look at real output per capita, the UK economy …
How QE Damaged the Economy and Housing MarketWatch this video on YouTube When we are young, we are taught money doesn’t grow on trees, but that’s not quite true, with QE the Central Bank can create as much money as it likes. And since the financial crisis, the Bank of England created £845 billion …
In the past few months, inflation in the UK has halved from 10 to 4.7%. In the US it has fallen to 3% but ask an average shopper and they may express scepticism, the cost of living seems to be rising much faster. In 2021 Jordan Peterson tweeted that he believes inflation was 15% rather …
In the space of 18 months, Bank of England base rates have risen from historical lows to 5%, with more expected. It’s a remarkable turnaround for an economy accustomed to ultra-low borrowing costs – the rapid increase in rates have seen soaring mortgage costs and threatens to push an already struggling economy into recession. Yet …
High interest rates and falling house prices will fundamentally alter both the housing market, and also the economy. The last two house price crashes co-incided with two deep recessions and if prices fall as much as expected, it will worsen an already weak economy. But, it is not all bad news, falling prices could be …