We have frequently heard the statement that we are experiencing the worst recession since the 1930s, but data released from the ONS shows that the fall in GDP is actually more prolonged in the current 2008-12 recession than the Great Depression of the 1930s. source: Office of National Statistics (pdf): In terms of human misery …
Readers Question: Does low inflation always mean low-interest rates? Generally low inflation will lead to low-interest rates. Although in practice there may be some divergence. The UK has an inflation target of CPI = 2%. Therefore, interest rates are used to achieve this target. If inflation falls to below 2% the MPC will cut rates …
Danny Blanchflower, a former member of the Bank of England, writes a critical piece on the Bank of England’s forecasting record in the Independent. “The second chart gives cause for concern because for the umpteenth time the MPC is forecasting rapid recovery, which is extremely unlikely to happen, and it seems that little has been …
In September 2011, CPI inflation rose to 5.2%, well above the government’s inflation target of 2%. RPI inflation is even higher at 5.6% Why have the Bank of England kept interest rates at 0.5% despite this increase in inflation? Should we not be more concerned about inflation? Price indices and inflation ONS Reasons To be …
Three questions on quantitative easing, inflation and why inflation in the UK is high despite falling real incomes and lower consumer spending. Readers Question: Isn’t the government (of UK) already printing lots of money? The Bank of England have electronically created money and used this to buy government bonds from financial institutions. The Bank created …
The UK economy faces a few paradoxes. Low Growth – High Inflation. Firstly, after a deep recession the economic recovery is weak. In theory, high unemployment and low growth should lead to low inflation. However, due to rising energy and food prices, we have inflation above target. This presents a conundrum for the Bank of …
Readers Question: Why is Inflation negative when prices are rising? In 2009, there was a brief period of negative inflation (RPI measure of inflation was negative) Often people ask, how come the inflation rate is negative when I notice prices rising? Firstly, if prices in the basket of goods used to measure inflation are rising, …
Readers Question: Why do the Government often fail to achieve its main objectives of high economic growth, price stability, and a surplus on the balance of payments. Other objectives worth adding are low unemployment, low government borrowing and maybe stable exchange rate. Looking at the current climate of the UK economy, the government is only …