Readers Question. Can you explain why the Government and Economic Commentators are talking about a multiplier (in relation to budget cuts) of between 0.5 and 1, whereas I always thought that the GDP multiplier was bigger than this. Just to summarise a multiplier of 0.5 would mean fiscal consolidation (spending cuts) of £1bn, would lead …
Readers Question: What would happen if a major currency, such as the dollar gets backed by gold again? If a major currency was backed by gold it means the government must hold sufficient gold to convert representative money into gold at the promised exchange rate. It means that the country would not be able to increase the money …
This is an article published in the LSE about the Austrian view of the Eurozone crisis ‘The Work of Hayek shows why EU governments can’t spend their way out of problems‘ I’ve attempted to summarise the article, but I advise reading it for yourself: The recent boom and bust was caused by artificially low interest …
What explains the difference between UK and US economic growth rates since the start of the crisis in late 2007? Firstly, the recession was slightly deeper in the UK with a 6% fall in real GDP during 2008. Possibly, the recession was deeper in the UK because of our greater reliance on the financial sector. Since …
Readers Question I’m currently looking at stagflation in the mid-1970s in the UK, and the policies the then-Government undertook to solve the economic crisis. Was the Government right to widen the budget deficit 1974-5 in order to stimulate demand, or should it have run less expansionary policies to temper the effect of rising prices? Basically, …
Austerity measures have pushed the UK and European economies back into recession with rising unemployment. But, I often feel that austerity measures are actually quite popular with the electorate. It is true that in Europe recently there has been something of a backlash. The recession has been so severe, voters have started to vote against …
Paul Krugman has been one of the clearest and strongest advocates of fiscal stimulus to end the recession which we have faced since the credit crisis of 2008. The basic premise of the book – ‘End This Depression Now!‘ is based on Keynesian analysis of a prolonged recession and liquidity trap. The basic argument is …
Readers Question: Why, on the one hand, do commentators talk about organisations and consumers paying off debt and not having money to spend. And on the other hand, Corporations sitting on large piles of cash? In the boom years 1995-2007, UK economic growth was led by consumer spending and a rise in borrowing. The saving …