After faltering for several years, the UK economy shows signs of real recovery, with rising spending, investment, exports and even manufacturing growth. At the start of 2014, there seems to be a virtuous circle of falling unemployment, falling inflation, and rising GDP. After one of the longest and deepest recessions on record, these signs of …
Readers Question: “As for the argument that China can always use its foreign exchange (forex) reserves to provide further stimulus to prop up the economy, the people who purport this have little knowledge of basic economics. If China were to use substantial forex reserves in this way, it would become a large net-seller of U.S. …
Ireland economic growth since the crisis Source: OECD Stats Economic outlook no.92 Dec 2012 | Accessed March 2013 (2014 e) Ireland GDP at constant market prices
Some thought provoking analysis from NIESR. Firstly, they define recession and depression in an interesting way. Recession – a period of time where output is falling. Depression – The period of time where output is below it’s peak. The UK economy is now growing, at a decent pace (0.8% in Q3). However, output is still …
Readers Question: As the FED is talking about tapering and at the same time keeping interest rate low. How can they both go together? Tapering will raise yield as bond prices go down in absence of any freak buying. And interest rate will chase yield this causes interest rate to climb up. Fed Tapering means …
A look at the pros and cons of Scottish independence from an economic perspective. It is said you can’t put a price on freedom and cultural identity. But, when it comes to independence, economics seems to be one of the biggest factors to sway voters in Scotland. When asked in a poll, only 21% favour …
Readers Question: Do you believe the Coalition Government has used the right macroeconomic policies with regards to reducing the budget deficit? No. I’ve written a few times that I believe the coalition government made a big mistake in prioritising deficit reduction over economic recovery in 2010. The consequence of trying to reduce the budget deficit …
A look at the relationship between inflation and unemployment and whether there is a trade off as suggested by Phillips Curve.