Crisis and Delays in UK Public Services

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Britain is facing a chronic backlog in many public services. This includes record NHS waiting lists, a shortage of housing, delays in the criminal system, and a surge in unprocessed asylum requests. On top of this, there is a cost of living crisis, falling real wages and the highest level of strikes this century. It …

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Core inflation definition

Core Inflation. This is a measure of inflation which excludes certain volatile and seasonal prices. It will be based on the Consumer price index but exclude prices such as Petrol (subject to oil price variations) Food (subject to seasonal variations) Core inflation will also exclude the impact of government excise duties. Core inflation is seen …

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China’s Economic Crisis

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In the past few decades, the Chinese economy has grown at a breakneck speed, allowing living standards to soar with GDP per person growing 500% in the past 21 years. China has become a major force in the global economy with an estimated 20% of global GDP by 2027. Yet, the seemingly unstoppable rise of …

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OBR Predict fall in House prices in 2023

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Last Thursday the OBR published a detailed forecast for the UK economy. It made for grim reading – the longest recession for a generation, falling disposable income and real wage growth around 35% less than its pre-crisis trend rate. Why Experts Predict 10% FALL in House PricesWatch this video on YouTube Amongst the dire economic …

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Recession risks for UK in 2023 worsen

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Earlier this summer the Bank of England warned that the UK was heading into the deepest recession in a generation. Yesterday the Bank of England warned the UK was in the longest recession in a generation – a double gloomy prognosis to go with their record-breaking rise in interest rates by 75 basis points from …

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UK Housing Market in 2023

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  Since Q1 2009, UK house prices have risen from £149,709 to £270,452 (Q2 2022) – an 81% increase. yet, during that period, median average wages have grown by just over 5%. The two main reasons are limited supply and ultra-low interest rates. Yet, this summer marked a turning point, with higher inflation causing Central …

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Increasing interest rates in the time of a recession

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Central Banks around the world are increasing interest rates because of concerns about inflation. However, the curious feature of this economic cycle is that Central Banks are raising rates, just as economies go into recession. Higher interest rates will, therefore, exacerbate the economic downturn and cause a deeper recession and higher unemployment. So why are …

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