Richest People in World 2012

We may be in a longer recession than the 1930s Great Depression (see: link) but it hasn’t prevented the richest people in Britain increase their net wealth. The richest 1000 men and women have a combined wealth of £414bn, up 4.7% on the previous year.

 

Richest People in the World 2012

1. The Walton Family (US)Retail (Walmart)£51bn
2. Carlos Slim (Mexico)Telecoms£44bn
3. Bill Gates (US)Microsoft£39bn
4. Charles and David Kock (US)Oil£32bn
5. Warren Buffet (US)Investment£28bn
5. K Berthold and Theo Albrecht (GermanySupermarkets (Aldi)£28bn
7. Forrest and John Mars (US)Confectionary (Mars)£26bn
7. Bernard Arnault (France)Luxury Goods£26bn
9. Ingvar Kamprad (Sweden)Ikea (retail)£25bn
10. Amancio Ortega (Spain)Zara (fashion)£24bn

The richest 20 people have a wealth of £288.5bn – more than triple the wealth of 2003, when the richest 20 people’s combined wealth was £102bn. The credit crunch temporarily reduced wealth. In 2008, it was £280bn, falling to £167bn in 2009. But now their wealth has climbed above the 2008 peak.

Richest People in Britain

1. Lakshmi Mittal and familySteel£12.7bn
2. Alisher UsmanovMining and investment£12.32bn
3. Roman AbramovichOil and industry£9.5bn
4, Sri And Gopi HindujaIndustry and finance£8.6 bn
5. Leonard BlavatnikIndustry (Russian oil)£7.58 bn
6. Ernesto and Kirsty BertarelliPharmaceuticals£7.48bn
7. The Duke of WestminsterProperty£7.3 bn
8. David and Simon ReubenProperty and investment£7.08bn
9. John Fredriksen and FamilyShipping and oil services£6.6 bn
10. Galen and George Weston and FamilyRetailing£5.9

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Great Recession v Great Depression of 1930s

We have frequently heard the statement that we are experiencing the worst recession since the 1930s, but data released from the ONS shows that the fall in GDP is actually more prolonged in the current 2008-12 recession than the Great Depression of the 1930s. source: Office of National Statistics (pdf): In terms of human misery …

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Shell’s Profits and Investment in Renewables

Two articles in the Guardian today: Shell makes £2 million profit an hour Shell says it can not ‘justify’ investing in wind farms in the north sea. Shell’s profits increased 11%  in first-quarter of 2012 to $7.3bn (Annual profit of around $29bn) Shell Claim: “Our profits pay for Shell’s dividends and substantial investments in new …

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Purpose of IMF Fund

Recently, the IMF have been working hard to establish a bigger fighting fund to help out insolvent Eurozone economies. (Although they say, it is not just for the Eurozone, but for the whole world economy.) Extra contributions from IMF members have raised an extra £300bn – taking the total of IMF funds to £1,000bn.

  • The aim is to have a bigger ‘firewall’. If economies experience liquidity crisis – e.g. can’t meet borrowing requirements, then they can apply for a loan from the IMF.
  • The fact that there is a lender of last resort like the IMF – means markets are, in theory, less worried about countries becoming illiquid and experiencing shortages. This confidence factor can help avoid capital flight in the first place.
  • Given the greater uncertainty in the world economy, the IMF has been keen to build up an even bigger fund than usual.

How Do Countries Contribute to IMF?

  • The UK recently gave £10bn to the IMF. This doesn’t come out of public spending. It is invested from UK foreign exchange reserves. The UK can also gain interest on this ‘investment’ into the IMF fund.

Limitations of the IMF Fund

  • One Trillion pounds is a big fund, but given the amount of potential losses in the Eurozone, it would be insufficient to cope if countries like Spain or Italy defaulted.

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Double Dip Recession 2012

Preliminary figures for Q1 2012 show the UK has re-entered recession, with a second successive quarter of negative economic growth.

latest-economic-growth

The negative economic growth occurred despite a small growth in the service sector and spurt in retail sales of petrol. The biggest factor contributing to the negative economic growth came from the construction sector, which saw a drop of 3.0%.

Brief Summary on Causes of Double Dip Recession

  • Spending Cuts – creating lower wages, unemployment and decline in confidence
  • Cost-push inflation and decline in real wages. Workers are seeing a squeeze in incomes leading to lower spending
  • Uncertainty in housing market causing a drop in construction
  • Uncertainty in Eurozone holding back investment and spending.
  • Slower exports to the Eurozone facing its own economic downturn.
  • More on causes of double dip recession

Implications of Double Dip Recession

After the serious 2008/09 recession – where GDP fell a record 6%, the economy has struggled to recover.
inflation

  • Despite the spare capacity, inflation has remained above target, giving little room for manoeuvre. At least one member of the MPC have started talking about the prospect of interest rate rises sooner than later. But, this news of economic recession, will give more weight to the inflation doves who are more concerned about lack of growth and unemployment.

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Should the Pace of UK’s Deficit Reduction be Slower?

Since coming to power, the Conservatives have made reducing the UK’s record peace time deficit a high priority. It has been argued that drastic action was necessary to avoid the UK’s debt becoming unmanageable. David Cameron argues without rapid spending cuts, the UK could be facing rising interest rates and the prospect of debt default, …

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World Without Oil Scenario

Is this the future of a world without oil? Readers Question: What would a world without oil look like? Oil is currently the most important commodity. It is vital to transport (air, sea, road and rail) and also the production of goods like tar and plastic. Without oil, society and the economy would look quite …

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Latest UK Inflation April 2012

inflation-latest

Inflation in the UK remains relatively high given the state of the economy. It continues to be above the Bank of England’s target of 1-3%. However, the MPC will not be overly concerned about inflation. They are more worried about the weak prospects for economic growth and will be ‘hoping’ / predicting inflation will continue to slowly fall throughout 2012.

  • The difference between CPI – RPI
  • CPI consumer price index
  • RPI – includes mortgage interest payments and other housing costs not in CPI.
  • CPI-CT – excludes the effect of taxes (e.g. VAT)

The gap between CPI, CPI-CT and RPI has recently narrowed. This is due to expiration of tax increases and interest rates have been stable.

Why is Inflation still above target given spare capacity in the economy?

Commodity Prices. There is still some impact of past increases in oil prices and other commodities. Though the March CPI figures were helped by a fall in petrol prices. Yet, the price of petrol remains quite volatile, reaching another recent peak during April. This renewed price of petrol means CPI inflation may fall by less than Bank of England predicts throughout 2012.  Yet, with the global slowdown, oil prices are again forecast to fall over coming weeks.

The ONS state that the biggest upward factors in UK inflation are currently in food, clothing, recreation and culture.

Wage inflation

Due to weak economic growth and continued high unemployment, wage growth continues to remain weak. This means many  consumers are seeing a continued fall in real incomes. The Bank of England think this is a significant factor in depressing future inflation.

realwages

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